2025 House Elections 538

2025 House Elections 538. 538’s 2025 house of representatives election forecast model showing democratic and republican chances of winning control. On average, when looking at the 2006 through 2022 elections, a version of our forecast that uses just polls and fundamentals predicts the wrong winner in contested house.

Live 2025 house election results and maps by state. An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2025 house of representatives elections.